Lynchburg 
W-L: ( 8- 1) PR = 94.0448
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
214 H St Marys (MD) United East ( 8- 4, 89.8) 15-11
221 A Pfeiffer USA South ( 9- 2, 87.7) 24- 7
228 A Salisbury CLC ( 9- 2, 94.1) 14-11
307 H Denison NCAC ( 2- 7, 90.6) 14-13
313 N Christopher Newport CLC (11- 2, 95.0) 22-21
314 N Gettysburg Centennial ( 5- 3, 92.9) 13-15
318 A Averett ODAC ( 0- 9, 68.1) 25- 3
321 H Bridgewater ODAC ( 8- 3, 84.1) 26- 5
328 A Roanoke ODAC ( 6- 3, 91.0) 17-13
401 A Virginia Wesleyan ODAC ( 9- 2, 86.4)
404 H Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt ( 1- 7, 88.8)
408 H Guilford ODAC ( 1- 6, 71.4)
411 H Randolph-Macon ODAC ( 8- 2, 91.4)
415 H Shenandoah ODAC ( 3- 8, 80.5)
418 A Hampden-Sydney ODAC ( 5- 6, 88.9)
422 A Randolph ODAC ( 3- 7, 70.0)
424 H Washington & Lee ODAC ( 6- 5, 92.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H St Marys (MD) 15-11 4 5 -0.56
221 A Pfeiffer 24- 7 17 6 0.00
228 A Salisbury 14-11 3 0 + 3.40
307 H Denison 14-13 1 4 - -2.74
313 N Christopher Newport 22-21 1 -1 1.93
314 N Gettysburg 13-15 -2 1 - -3.15
318 A Averett 25- 3 22 26 0.00
321 H Bridgewater 26- 5 21 10 0.00
328 A Roanoke 17-13 4 3 1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Denison 14-13 1 4 - -2.74
314 N Gettysburg 13-15 -2 1 - -3.15
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 A Salisbury 14-11 3 0 + 3.40
|
Lynchburg Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adrian |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Albertus Magnus |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Albion |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Albright |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Alfred |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Alfred State |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Allegheny |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Alma |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Alvernia |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Amherst |
Amherst |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Amherst |
| Anderson (IN) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Anna Maria |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Arcadia |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Augustana |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Aurora |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Averett |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| Babson |
Babson |
|
 
| Babson |
| Baldwin Wallace |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Bates |
Bates |
|
 
| Bates |
| Beloit |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Benedictine (IL) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Berry |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Bethany |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
| Brevard |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Bridgewater |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| Brockport |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Bryn Athyn |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Cairn |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Calvin |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Canton |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Capital |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Carroll |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Carthage |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Castleton |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Catholic |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Lynchburg |
| Centenary (LA) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Centenary (NJ) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Centre |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Chatham |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Christopher Newport |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| Clark |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Clarkson |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Coast Guard |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Cobleskill |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Colby |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Colorado College |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Connecticut College |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Cornell College |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Cortland |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Curry |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Dean College |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Delaware Valley |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Delhi |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Denison |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| DePauw |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| DeSales |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Dickinson |
Dickinson |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Dickinson |
| Drew |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Dubuque |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Earlham |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Eastern |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Eastern Connecticut |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Edgewood |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Elizabethtown |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Elmhurst |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynchburg |
| Elmira |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Emerson |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Emmanuel (MA) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Endicott |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Farmingdale State |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| FDU-Florham |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Franciscan |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Franklin & Marshall |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Geneseo |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynchburg |
| Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
 
|
| Gordon |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Goucher |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Greensboro |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Grove City |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Guilford |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Gwynedd Mercy |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hamilton |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hampden-Sydney |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Hanover |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hartford |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hartwick |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Haverford |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Heidelberg |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hendrix |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hilbert |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hiram |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynchburg |
| Hood |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Hope |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Huntingdon |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Husson |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Illinois Tech |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Illinois Wesleyan |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Immaculata |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Ithaca |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| John Carroll |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Johnson & Wales |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Juniata |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Kalamazoo |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Kean |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Keene State |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Kenyon |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Keuka |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Kings |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| La Roche |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| LaGrange |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Lake Forest |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Lasell |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Lawrence |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Lebanon Valley |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Lycoming |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Maine Maritime |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Manhattanville |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Marian (WI) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Marietta |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Maritime |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Mary Washington |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Marymount |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Marywood |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Massachusetts-Boston |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| McDaniel |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| MCLA |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Merchant Marine |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Messiah |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Methodist |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
| Misericordia |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| MIT |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Mitchell |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Montclair State |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Moravian |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Morrisville |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Mount St Mary (NY) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Mount St Vincent |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Mount Union |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| MSOE |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Muhlenberg |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Muskingum |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Nazareth |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Neumann |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| New England College |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| New Paltz |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Nichols |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| North Central |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Northland |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Norwich |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Oberlin |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Oglethorpe |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Ohio Northern |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Oneonta |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Oswego |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Otterbein |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Penn College |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Pfeiffer |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| Piedmont |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Pitt-Bradford |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Plattsburgh |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Plymouth State |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Potsdam |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Purchase |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Randolph |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Randolph-Macon |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Regis (MA) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Rhodes |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| RIT |
RIT |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
RIT |
| Rivier |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Roanoke |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| Roger Williams |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Rosemont |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| RPI |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Sage |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Salem State |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Salisbury |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| Salve Regina |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Scranton |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Sewanee |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Shenandoah |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Skidmore |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Southern Maine |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Southern Virginia |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Southwestern |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Spalding |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Springfield |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
|
 
| St John Fisher |
| St Joseph (CT) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| St Josephs (LI) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| St Josephs (ME) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| St Lawrence |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| St Marys (MD) |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
 
| |
| St Vincent |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Stevens |
Stevens |
|
 
| Stevens |
| Stevenson |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Stockton |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| SUNY Poly |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Susquehanna |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Swarthmore |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Thiel |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Thomas |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Transylvania |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Trine |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Trinity |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
| Tufts |
Tufts |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Tufts |
| U of New England |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Union |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Ursinus |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Utica |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Vassar |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Virginia Wesleyan |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynchburg |
| Wabash |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Warren Wilson |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Washington & Jefferson |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Washington & Lee |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Lynchburg |
| Washington College |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Wentworth |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
 
| Wesleyan |
| Western Connecticut |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Western New England |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Westminster (PA) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Wheaton |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Widener |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Wilkes |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| William Peace |
Lynchburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lynchburg |
| Williams |
Williams |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Williams |
| Wilmington (OH) |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Wittenberg |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| Wooster |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
| York |
Lynchburg |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lynchburg |
PowerWise = 222

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.88
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Marys (MD) ( 8- 4, 89.8) 15-11 -10.08 29.16 -0.33 0.99 28.45
0 A Pfeiffer ( 9- 2, 87.7) 24- 7 -12.16 27.09 0.33 0.99 27.06
0 A Salisbury ( 9- 2, 94.1) 14-11 -5.79 33.46 0.33 0.99 33.34
0 H Denison ( 2- 7, 90.6) 14-13 -9.26 29.98 -0.33 0.99 29.26
0 N Christopher Ne (11- 2, 95.0) 22-21 -4.92 34.32 -0.00 0.99 33.87
0 N Gettysburg ( 5- 3, 92.9) 13-15 -7.00 32.24 -0.00 0.99 -6.91
0 A Averett ( 0- 9, 68.1) 25- 3 -31.78 7.46 0.33 0.99 7.69
0 H Bridgewater ( 8- 3, 84.1) 26- 5 -15.85 23.40 -0.33 0.99 22.76
0 A Roanoke ( 6- 3, 91.0) 17-13 -8.92 30.33 0.33 0.99 30.25
------
205.78
|
winning pts = 212.6901 losing points = -6.9087
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------